您当前的位置：首页 > 金融保险

中国可以帮助世界走出金融危机吗？

2017-03-10 23:37:18

　　虽然中国也遭到这次金融危机的影响，制造业和出口贸易均有下滑，但麦肯锡的亚太区主席Dominic Barton认为，未来两至3年，中国仍会有很好的表现——这得益于中国庞大的消费基础。

Dominic Barton, Asia Pacific chairman of consultancy firm McKinsey & Company, is “very bullish about where China is going to be over the next two to three years.”

Speaking at the World Knowledge Forum in Seoul, Barton says that while consensus economic forecasts point to a likely two-percentage point drop in China’s economic growth in 2009, its underlying growth drivers remain formidable --– due to its large consumer base, significant infrastructure expenditure and the Chinese government’s strong fiscal position.

For its part, the government, which has currency reserves of US dollar 1.9 trillion, has announced a raft of measures to address the darkening economic outlook. The government will increase infrastructure spending, raise export tax rebates, reduce property transaction fees, encourage banks to lend more money to small- and medium-sized companies, and introduce new programmes to support farmers. Furthermore, economists expect the central bank to cut interest rates for the third time this year.

“We think growth will continue in China in almost every sector; there are some sectors where it will be zero,” says Barton, adding that some sectors and companies are growing at a rate of 40⑷5 per cent.

For instance, steel manufacturers supplying construction companies in Shanghai, Shenzhen and Guangzhou are being hit hard by the property market slump, but companies in the software and pharmaceutical sectors are growing rapidly.

Notably, the International Monetary Fund estimates China’s economic growth in 2009 at 9.3 per cent, compared with virtually zero growth in the US, euro area and Japan.

　　浏览全文，请点击这里。

　　本文经许可，摘自INSEAD Knowledge。未经INSEAD Knowledge同意，任何人不得转载本文。